Home foreclosure rates go up and prices drop
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Are UK house prices any closer to recovering?
Taking the UK as a whole, the price of an average 3 bedroom property is still being promoted at an average of £160,000.
This is less than ten percent down from the pre-crash high in 2007.
But the hidden, unreported reality is that these current average prices are totally unsustainable in our present economy. Unemployment is rising, wages and salaries are frozen or being cut, while inflation is running at a minimum of 5%. This means real take-home pay is falling and falling.
More and more homeowners are struggling with personal and mortgage debt and their home values, as they're currently perceived, are completely unrealistic.
For those of us who know what's really going on, we're expecting this current average property price of £160,000, will drop 40% to a floor of £96,000 before a sustainable recovery can begin to emerge.
The same is true of commercial property assets that are still grossly over-valued.
At the moment, banks are falling over themselves to try and keep homeowners in their homes and at least paying something, otherwise foreclosure rates would be sixty times higher than they presently are.
Our best guesstimate is that nearly 70 percent of all mortgage payers in this country are sitting on negative equity. We've avoided a depression but until the market catches up with reality and selling prices start reflecting where the UK economy really is, there won't be a recovery in house prices until 2025 at the earliest.
Response to Cornelius: You're right of course, but this correction has to be managed carefully or this Country will end up in a major recession.
Trouble is, anyone who buys a home at a price that is higher than a 40% drop on the peak 2007 valuation is going to lose a lot of money.
Buyers are going to have to be tough and do their homework...
And This is a bad thing why?
The only losers are the speculators, lower property prices make homes afordable to people who want homes not property. Another 50% below your figure would be even better.
Try getting the property obsessed media to report price drops as anything but doom and gloom. Why don't they report a fall in house prices as a GOOD news story, because for many people it is.
Edit
Why? A house is most peoples biggest purchase and they are conditioned to expect it to make a profit. Yet their second biggest purchase sits outside their house on four wheels and looses £400 a month in value and no one turns a hair. Loose £4800 a year on your car and that's not a problem, Loose £1000 a year on the value of a house and people act like Armageddon is just round the corner.When will the UK house price correction bottom out?
Taking the UK as a whole, the price of an average 3 bedroom property is still being promoted at an average of £160,000.
This is less than ten percent down from the pre-crash high in 2007.
But the hidden, unreported reality is that these current average prices are totally unsustainable in our present economy. Unemployment is rising, wages and salaries are frozen or being cut, while inflation is running at a minimum of 5%. This means real take-home pay is falling and falling.
More and more homeowners are struggling with personal and mortgage debt and their home values, as they're currently perceived, are completely unrealistic.
For those of us who know what's really going on, we're expecting this current average property price of £160,000, will drop 40% to a floor of £96,000 before a sustainable recovery can begin to emerge.
The same is true of commercial property assets that are still grossly over-valued.
At the moment, banks are falling over themselves to try and keep homeowners in their homes and at least paying something, otherwise foreclosure rates would be sixty times higher than they presently are.
Our best guesstimate is that nearly 70 percent of all mortgage payers in this country are sitting on negative equity. We've avoided a depression but until the market catches up with reality and selling prices start reflecting where the UK economy really is, there won't be a recovery in house prices until 2025 at the earliest.
The media is to blame for the current housing problems with it's scaremongering about crashes and double dips etc.Homes in our area are selling at around the 2008 prices so not much of a crash as a levelling out of prices and no big increases.Nobody unless they are desperate is going to sell their home for less than they paid for it so talk of all these cheap properties and repossessions available don't live in our area (lincolnshire) where properties were fairly low compared with the national average anyway.
The only people in negative equity are those who bought using a 125% mortgage and borrowed through schemes that gave them their deposit as well which was financial suicide in a good market never mind a depressed one.
Oh dear house prices still decreasing in the states.
If it is that bad to sell then may be it would be a better idea to rent the property out or depending on how much they will loose sell it.
Jamie